The world is still enamoured with the idea of autonomous vehicles despite some hiccups in their (very) public testing and the fact that some humans, who feel they are the early adopters, haven’t quite figured out what they should or shouldn’t be doing with the semi-autonomous systems available in some cars.
If the mature car markets do move to fully autonomous cars, then more people will be replacing driving with being a simple passenger and will use systems such as GPS to direct the vehicle. My experience with using a GPS in many countries is that they are configured to use the main roads or freeways first – unless there is a problem with one of those. That is quite a sensible approach as it means that there is less chance of getting lost.
In Canada recently, virtually all my driving with a GPS was on what I term “simple” roads that possibly took a longer route than had I known the geography. One year I went to see a family member up near Lake Huron in Ontario and not knowing the area used the GPS which definitely took me the long way. On leaving I was advised to take a country road and this took me back to my destination in half the time – on much more enjoyable and quieter roads. Last year I went to MotorClassica in Melbourne and was heading down a major road when there were roadworks. Using the GPS on my phone, I found the best, quietest and pleasurable roads to get around the works, leaving the traffic jams behind.
I wonder about the future – if drivers are going to abandon the pleasures of controlling a vehicle, would that mean that they are also going to lose the desire to explore and find new routes to travel? The onboard GPS will always take the vehicle down the easiest route which is typically a freeway or main road. These roads will still be as congested as they often are today.
What will happen to all the nicer side roads? Will they become the preserve of the non-autonomous vehicles – the cars with people who enjoy the whole driving experience. That might not be such a bad thing for the enthusiast! However, you can bet that if the roads aren’t used enough, then the local Government will stop funding any repairs.
Perhaps the autonomous systems being developed will get more reliable input from external systems to show traffic flow or even poor road conditions and will direct the vehicle accordingly. It might be possible that load balancing systems could be developed using all the data that is planned to be stored online and shared between vehicles. This would then suggest different routes for different vehicles, spreading the traffic over several roads rather than one or two. That almost happens today with current GPS, however it only shows where the heavy traffic is and recommends the next main road to use.
Country towns are already struggling for economic injections from visitors and this has got worse since freeways and by-passes have been built. It is a fine balance between wanting all the traffic out of a town and keeping the businesses going – so much of their revenue comes from drivers stopping en route.
If autonomous vehicles get popular and we see a further reduction in long distances travelled by car, could we see another shift in social demographics as many more small towns wither away as the younger folk move to the cities because jobs become scarcer? Every new mode of transportation has had a big impact on demographics as people move for jobs or other opportunities. I think autonomous vehicles will provide a more subtle change in that people will become more sedentary and not travel interstate so much. It’s almost like society is heading back a few hundred years in time!
The downside of autonomous vehicles is that they are just another robot that enables humans to lose more skills. I’m sure that these vehicles will be useful around cities – especially electric ones that reduce pollution, however I hope that as a species, humans don’t fully lose the desire to travel and explore.
VinceS2 says
Earlier today, I read about a much more problematic thing coming country roads’ way. Soon. Maybe. A universal 90km/hr speed limit, in the name of reducing accidents on our roads. Read about it here: http://roadsafety.gov.au/action-plan/2018-2020/
In Action 1 they want to knock speed limits in rural areas down to 90km/hr “with engagement of local communities”. Let the ‘you stupid city dweller’ bun-fights begin! I guess I am foreseeing problems with ‘acceptance’ that this is a valid strategic response….
Also see Action D, where they are getting pretty serious about enforcement of reduced speed limits. They seriously believe this is a silver bullet and are going for it! And give it another crank in Action J where they want ‘while we get around to upgrading the roads’ reductions on top, adding ‘just get out of ya cars willya, you dangerous country mob!’ (possibly I paraphrased that bit, but this is clearly the thinking).
It was signed off by all the Ministers that matter a bit over a month ago, so ‘the problem’ is about to get serious. I am all in favour of the overall intent, but I have read the submissions (see http://roadsafety.gov.au/nrss/inquiry.aspx) and a lot of really solid stuff was put up and totally ignored, without explanation. The obligation to maintain a credible evidence basis for selected actions being the most obvious casualty. As opposed to wishful, even if well intended, thinking.
Moving off topic a little, the NSW Motorcycle Council put in a very credible submission (#30) around the evidence, and got told the answer for motorcyclist injuries was a clothing star rating system. Whilst that is useful, it will make a fractional percentage difference in injury outcomes as it pre-supposes major injuries result from wearing lesser grade clothing, whereas I know very well it has a lot more to do with the FACT of wearing protective clothing, than that one is slightly more prone to wearing through than the next item in a crash. On country roads of course, to get back on topic! I put a submission in about the responsibility such a Committee has to foster emerging technologies (#28) to create better outcomes, especially for young drivers. But got no recognition this type of approach even belonged in the mix, regardless of the merits or otherwise of my particular take on it.